The Martingale betting system has been around since at least the 18th century. Legend has it the Martingale system is named after John Henry Martindale, a London casino owner who allegedly used the strategy in the s. Accurate spelling of his last name was apparently lost in translation over the years as Martindale became Martingale. Nor do the bank accounts of sports bettors. In theory, the execution is extremely simple. The Martingale betting system means doubling your losing bets until you win.
Sounds great, right? If you bet on black at the roulette wheel and lose three times in a row, nothing changes when you bet on black for a fourth time. The odds the ball will land on black — In a unique circumstance, this strategy can make sense. Suppose the gambler possesses exactly 63 units but desperately needs a total of Eventually he either goes bust or reaches his target. This strategy gives him a probability of Many gamblers believe that the chances of losing 6 in a row are remote, and that with a patient adherence to the strategy they will slowly increase their bankroll.
In reality, the odds of a streak of 6 losses in a row are much higher than many people intuitively believe. Psychological studies have shown that since people know that the odds of losing 6 times in a row out of 6 plays are low, they incorrectly assume that in a longer string of plays the odds are also very low. In fact, while the chance of losing 6 times in a row in 6 plays is a relatively low 1. Such a loss streak would likely wipe out the bettor, as 10 consecutive losses using the martingale strategy means a loss of 1,x the original bet.
These unintuitively risky probabilities raise the bankroll requirement for "safe" long-term martingale betting to infeasibly high numbers. When people are asked to invent data representing coin tosses, they often do not add streaks of more than 5 because they believe that these streaks are very unlikely. Anti-martingale[ edit ] In a classic martingale betting style, gamblers increase bets after each loss in hopes that an eventual win will recover all previous losses.
The anti-martingale approach, also known as the reverse martingale, instead increases bets after wins, while reducing them after a loss.

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