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Over the long run, however, both stocks and bonds have outperformed the price increase in gold, on average. Nevertheless, over certain shorter time spans, gold may come out ahead. Gold tends to rise during periods of high inflation and geopolitical uncertainty.
Gold vs. Stocks and Bonds When evaluating the performance of gold as an investment over the long term , it really depends on the time period being analyzed. For example, over certain year periods, stocks have outperformed gold and bonds have been similar to one another, but over some year periods, gold has outperformed stocks and bonds. Then, if we only consider the years and , gold has outperformed stocks as geopolitical uncertainty and inflation increased worldwide.
So, over the longer term, stocks seem to outperform gold by about 3-to-1, but over shorter time horizons, gold may win out. Indeed, if we go way back to the s through today, stock returns blow gold away. Over a year period, the return on bonds has been lower than both stocks and gold. Prior to the Gold Reserve Act, President Roosevelt had required citizens to surrender gold bullion , coins, and notes in exchange for U. Gold returns vary depending on the time period under consideration.
Between January when the dollar became unlinked to gold and December , gold had average annual returns of Over the same period, global stocks returned The annual average return of gold in was In general, gold performs relatively poorly when stocks are in a bull market. One reason is that gold is not an income-producing asset, nor does it represent growth in a particular company or sector.
Rather, it is valued for its relative scarcity and its socio-historical precedent as something of value. Thus, when the economy is growing and corporations are doing well, stocks tend to be more attractive to investors. Does Cryptocurrency Outperform Gold? Since Bitcoin BTC emerged in , it has greatly outperformed most other asset classes, including gold.
Due to its scarcity and fixed and diminishing rate of new supply, many have equated Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies as a sort of digital gold. Time will tell if it continues to outperform. Dividend stocks vs. In a way, gold stocks with dividends can be like having your cake and eating it, too. When it comes to bountiful gold miners, stick with the heavyweights and steer clear of the junior players.
Undoubtedly, the swollen yield is the result of substantial capital losses in recent quarters. As gold continues to sink on fears of higher rate increases, many may question the viability of gold as a portfolio diversifier. The gold trade has simply not worked out.
However, for long-term thinkers lacking precious metal exposure, I think Barrick is a screaming bargain at At Credit Suisse seems to think so. It named Agnico Eagle its top pick in the precious metals industry just over a week ago. The Kirkland Lake merger could pay major dividends, as the firm looks to realize potential synergies.
Those are all solid points in my books.
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