Ivanovic bouchard betting trends

If the player has a value of 1, they only hit shots that end the point. As the value increases, a player is considered more aggressive. Eighteen players fitted these criteria. Since the Match Charting Project is, unfortunately, a nonrandom sample of matches, I felt uncomfortable making assessments below a very large number of data points.

Using or more data points, however, an overwhelming amount of data would be required to overcome these assessments, giving some confidence that, while bias exists, we get in the neighborhood of the true aggression values. The Results Below are the results from the analysis. Tables provide the Aggression Scores for each player overall, broken down into serve and return scores and further broken down into first and second serves.

They also provide differences between where we would expect the player to be more aggressive Serve v. Return, First Serve v. Second Serve and Second Serve Return v. First Serve Return. The fourth and fifth plots show the relationship between the spread of serve and return aggression scores between first and second serve and the more aggressive point for the player, i. We can take away five preliminary observations.

Sara Errani knows where her money is made. The WTA is notoriously terrible for providing statistics. However, they do provide leaderboards for particular statistics, including return points and games won. Errani leads the tour in both this year. She also uniquely holds a higher Aggression Score on return points than serve points.

From this information, we can hypothesize that Errani may play more aggressive on return points because she has greater confidence she can win those points or because she relies on those points more to win. Maria Sharapova is insensitive to context; Elina Svitolina is highly sensitive to context. She falls outside of the confidence interval in all five plots.

More specifically, Sharapova consistently is more aggressive on return points, second serve service points and first serve return points than her scores for service points, first serve service points and second serve return points respectively would predict. She has also lower spreads on serve and return than her more aggressive points would predict.

This result suggests that Sharapova differentiates relatively little in how she approaches points according to whether she is serving or returning or whether it is first serve or second serve. Svitolina exhibits the opposite trend as Sharapova.

Considering anecdotal thoughts from watching Sharapova and Svitolina, these results make sense. Svitolina can vary between aggressive shot-making and big first serves and conservative play. Hot takes are not always wrong. Looking at the plots, it is interesting to note how Safarova and Bouchard seem to follow each other across the various measures.

The same is true for Ivanovic and Muguruza. A potential application of the aggression score is that it can point us to players that are comparable and may have similar results. For fans who have questions about her commitment level to the sport of tennis, this may reinforce some negative stereotypes about her work ethic.

But the trunk of the SUV has only two primary contents: a tennis bag and laundry detergent. Bouchard has come out West to work. Her posts over the past few months sometimes focused more on extra-curricular activities think beaches and big cities than tennis, and each comment section invariably became a referendum on her work ethic. For example: mattpitstick remember when you used to be good at tennis and then started posting stuff like this?

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