Nedbank challenge betting tips

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Nedbank Golf Challenge Betting Tips: One interesting stat when you look over that Nedbank Golf Challenge and the previous tournaments is the consistency — a lot of the same golfers appear at the top. Look at Thongchai Jaidee who has went , or Henrik Stenson who has been in the top 5 6 times including a win.

His odds are great and that Portugal masters win is huge for him. I could see him crack the Top 5 for sure. Hopefully we can pick out some good underdog plays that will come in. Tournaments at altitude are fairly rare on the European Tour - most of them take place in South Africa, in fact - but the European Masters is the exception.

That's three of the last five winners who've lifted trophies at both Crans and Sun City and while the obvious answer is therefore two-time Crans champion Matt Fitzpatrick, it's hard to shake the memory of his blowout in China last time and it'll be some effort is the Englishman can bounce back from shooting 80 twice in three days. Instead, it's worth backing the man he pipped in a Swiss play-off back in September, Lucas Bjerregaard.

The Dane has really blossomed this year, victory in the Dunhill Links the best performance of his career and made all the more impressive by the manner in which he held firm against a couple of Europe's finest. That means it's two wins in his last 32 starts and it's not unreasonable to expect him to maintain that sort of strike-rate now the door has been forced open.

Bjerregaard was in fine form prior to winning, a fact highlighted by that unfortunate defeat in Switzerland, and he's been in fine form since. Ninth place one week after the Dunhill Links at a cold, difficult British Masters was a mighty effort and while he was extremely disappointing in China on his next start, unlike Fitzpatrick we've had the opportunity to see him put that right in Turkey last week.

Nobody hit more greens than Bjerregaard, who was just a little off with the putter for the first two days before a weekend, and that performance can be upgraded further given that he'd previously struggled at the course. Lucas Bjerregaard is fancied to go well in South Africa Here at Sun City, he's twice finished mid-pack and it's possible he might've contended but for some horror shows on the greens.

So far in two visits he's ranked first and third for total driving, both times hitting plenty of fairways to go with that awesome power of his, and he's been third and seventh for overall ball-striking. On debut he gobbled up the par-fives but couldn't make enough birdies elsewhere, while last year he made too many mistakes. Again, though, we need context: his end-of-season form, after winning in Portugal, read MC-MC and his best effort came here.

As for , he'd managed just one top finish all year and that was in May - this time he's managed 10 already. When Branden Grace defied an outward 42 on Friday here last year, after which he was virtually flawless, he explained that he was a grinder, that patience is key at such a long, difficult course at the end of a taxing season. Bjerregaard is no Grace, but he gave himself full marks for staying patient last week in Turkey and concluded: "This week, a lot of positives I can bring with me to South Africa and Dubai.

There's every chance he manages it here, particularly with the course playing somewhat soft and therefore into the hands of this end-of-year beast. Fitzpatrick would've been in the staking plan but for his performance in China, one which just doesn't appear to have been factored into his price. He's building an impressive record at this course and it's one which takes a little knowing, with debutants typically finding the learning curve a little too steep. Grace is hitting greens but not scoring and looks short enough on balance and while Shane Lowry and Lee Westwood love this test, neither wins enough to justify the odds quoted.

More tempting than both, therefore, was Martin Kaymer, who was neat and tidy in Turkey, ought to be favoured by more demanding conditions and is a past champion at the course, while Kiradech Aphibarnrat wasn't far off doing enough last week to earn a reprieve. But with two strong fancies already on board, I'll conclude the outright staking plan with a real flyer on Shubhankar Sharma.

The Indian is one-from-one in South Africa having dominated the Joburg Open late last year and has since enhanced the belief that playing at altitude may suit, having contended for the high-class WGC-Mexico Championship in the spring. Sharma was in contention again a month ago at the CIMB Classic, and it's perhaps significant that his return to form there coincided with a return to Malaysia, where he won his second European Tour title back in February.

Coming back to South Africa might just bring about a similar surge and we're not talking about a player in hopeless form - he was 10th four starts ago, shot a second-round 64 the following week and, while poor in China, closed with a round of 67 in Turkey on Sunday.

How well he'll take to the challenge of Sun City is not easy to predict, but this youngster has a fantastic attitude and bundles of talent and there are many players far shorter in the market who not only lack his potential, but have achieved far less. Second only to Grace last year, the year-old boasts an enviable record at this course and is among those who help strengthen the correlation with Crans, where he's been inside the top 10 in each of the last two renewals of the European Masters.

Indeed his build-up to the Nedbank has been very similar to last year's, if a little stronger this time around after 23rd place in a good field in Turkey where he finished bogey-bogey but otherwise played nicely throughout. Crucially, there are serious doubts as to the state of Charl Schwartzel's game, Dylan Frittelli has played here once in over a decade and didn't pull up any trees then, while Grace has been well below his best even if there's obviously a good chance he finds his feet now on home soil.

I wouldn't want to talk down his chances as such, but nor am I afraid to take him on. Louis Oosthuizen's play has been solid all year but he's not seen the effort through often enough, Brandon Stone's form at this course is horrible, George Coetzee is out of sorts and Dean Burmester's game may lack the required subtlety even if rain has made this a bombers' paradise.

Erik van Rooyen is a threat but again lacks course experience and that leaves Thomas Aiken and Trevor Immelman, neither of who are to be especially feared.

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